Are the folks (like me) who picked all four No. 1 seeds to make the Final Four ingenious, or simply lucky?

Admittedly, I take myself out of the running for the “ingenious” category. As I said when I first offered my pick ‘ems, I did not follow all teams as closely as in previous years (though, don’t get it twisted, I watched a good amount of games) before filling out my bracket. Others may not admit to this, but I remain true to my “honesty is the best policy” approach.

The bracket I submitted is only doing well because of those remaining Final Four picks. Other folks in the pool chose more upsets (obviously) and though our pool rewards the upset picks (you get points for the difference in ranks in upsets… 12 defeats 5 gets you 7 extra points), they are reaping what they sowed in the risk they took.

High risk can equal high reward… until it doesn’t.

ESPN’s Andy Katz says the NCAA Selection Committee got it right this year.

That plays right into my question: How you can tell the difference between lucky and ingenious in this situation?